Advertisement
New Zealand markets closed
  • NZX 50

    11,755.11
    -80.93 (-0.68%)
     
  • NZD/USD

    0.5884
    -0.0021 (-0.36%)
     
  • NZD/EUR

    0.5526
    -0.0019 (-0.34%)
     
  • ALL ORDS

    7,798.40
    -100.50 (-1.27%)
     
  • ASX 200

    7,547.40
    -94.70 (-1.24%)
     
  • OIL

    84.25
    +1.52 (+1.84%)
     
  • GOLD

    2,397.90
    -0.10 (-0.00%)
     
  • NASDAQ

    17,394.31
    -99.31 (-0.57%)
     
  • FTSE

    7,877.05
    +29.06 (+0.37%)
     
  • Dow Jones

    37,775.38
    +22.07 (+0.06%)
     
  • DAX

    17,837.40
    +67.38 (+0.38%)
     
  • Hang Seng

    16,184.02
    -201.85 (-1.23%)
     
  • NIKKEI 225

    37,145.98
    -933.72 (-2.45%)
     
  • NZD/JPY

    90.7460
    -0.5080 (-0.56%)
     

Shareholders in General Electric (NYSE:GE) are in the red if they invested five years ago

We think intelligent long term investing is the way to go. But no-one is immune from buying too high. For example the General Electric Company (NYSE:GE) share price dropped 65% over five years. We certainly feel for shareholders who bought near the top. And it's not just long term holders hurting, because the stock is down 31% in the last year. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 12% in the last three months. Of course, this share price action may well have been influenced by the 7.7% decline in the broader market, throughout the period.

Since shareholders are down over the longer term, lets look at the underlying fundamentals over the that time and see if they've been consistent with returns.

See our latest analysis for General Electric

Given that General Electric didn't make a profit in the last twelve months, we'll focus on revenue growth to form a quick view of its business development. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.

ADVERTISEMENT

Over half a decade General Electric reduced its trailing twelve month revenue by 11% for each year. That puts it in an unattractive cohort, to put it mildly. It seems appropriate, then, that the share price slid about 10% annually during that time. We don't generally like to own companies that lose money and don't grow revenues. You might be better off spending your money on a leisure activity. You'd want to research this company pretty thoroughly before buying, it looks a bit too risky for us.

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
earnings-and-revenue-growth

It's probably worth noting we've seen significant insider buying in the last quarter, which we consider a positive. On the other hand, we think the revenue and earnings trends are much more meaningful measures of the business. So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, General Electric's TSR for the last 5 years was -61%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

While the broader market lost about 12% in the twelve months, General Electric shareholders did even worse, losing 31% (even including dividends). Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 10% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. If you want to research this stock further, the data on insider buying is an obvious place to start. You can click here to see who has been buying shares - and the price they paid.

General Electric is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at this free list of growing companies with insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.